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Review: The Big Short by Michael Lewis

Michael Lewis’s fascinating page-turner, The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine takes us through the Subprime mortgage market through the eyes of the cast of characters who not only saw the coming crisis but bet heavily on the catastrophe, and won big.

What’s interesting about the cast of characters is their contrarian view on the financial crisis, events that shaped their worldview, and holding on and increasing their bets while under tremendous pressure, in some cases, from their own investors.

Lewis focuses largely on four groups, and among them mostly on Steve Eisman, Dr. Michael Burry, Greg Lippmann and Charlie Ledley:
• Frontline Partners (Steve Eisman, Vincent Daniel, Danny Moses, Porter Collins), Ivy Zelman and Wing Chau
• Scion Capital (Michael Burry, Steve Druskin), Joel Greenblatt and Kip Oberting
• Formerly of Deutsche Bank (Greg Lippmann & Eugene Xu)
• Cornwall Capital (Charlie Ledley, Ben Hockett, Jamie Mai) and David Burt

The book starts with Eisman, moves on to Burry, Lippmann, Ledley and how they go about learning more about the Subprime market, various interactions with Wall St. Banks, AIG, how the protagonists put together the pieces of the puzzle, and finally culminates with Howie Huber losing billions and the financial crisis of 2008.

My favorite quotes from the book:

“The original cast of subprime financiers had been sunk by the small fraction of the loans they made that they had kept on their books. The market might have learned a simple lesson: Don’t make loans to people who can’t repay them. Instead it learned a complicated one: You can keep on making these loans, just don’t keep them on your books. Make the loans, then sell them off to the fixed income departments of big wall street investment banks, which will in turn package them into bonds and sell them to investors.”

“It was as if you could buy flood insurance on the house in the valley for the same price as flood insurance on the house on the mountaintop.”

Steve Eisman:

“How do you make poor people feel wealthy when wages are stagnant? You give them cheap loans.”

“I now realized there was an entire industry, called consumer finance, that basically existed to rip people off.”

Dr. Michael Burry:

“The more he studied Buffett, the less he thought Buffett could be copied; indeed, the lesson of Buffett was: To succeed in a spectacular fashion you had to be spectacularly unusual. “If you are going to be a great investor, you have to fit the style to who you are.”"

“Real risk was not volatility; real risk was stupid investment decisions.”

“Ick investing means taking a special analytical interest in stocks that inspire a first reaction of ‘ick’”

If you liked this post, you might like Daily Links #171 (Michael Burry edition).

Categories: books.

Daily Links #190

Scott Locklin: The economist; staffed by statistical buffoons?

Joel Spolsky: Building Communities with Software

Xan Brooks’s excellent running commentary starts at 4.05 pm on the epic John Isner and Nicolas Mahut match

Joel Reymont: Ask’s HN: How do I turn 100K into 1 million?

Dan Crow: Google Squared – Web scale, open domain information extraction and presentation (pdf)

Categories: daily-links.

Daily Links #189

Keith Rabois: The State of Angel Investing & What Startups Can Learn From It

Chris Dixon: On Startups & Why the VC Model Is Broken

David Cohen: You have acquisition interest – now what?

Wolfire Blog: Thoughts on OnLive

Sebastian Deterding: Why Games Are Fun: The Psychology Explanation

Categories: daily-links, startups.

Daily Links #188

YC Founders at Work Interview: Posterous

SeaMicro’s interesting new product for the server industry

Thomas Korte: 16 Tips for Founders @ YC Demo Day

Dan Ariely: The 7 Habits of Highly Ineffective People

YC: Need to process payments?

Categories: daily-links, startups.

Daily Links #187

Richard Dawkins interviews Steven Pinker for “The Genius of Charles Darwin” – fascinating video conversation

Vision Quest: A half century of artificial-sight research has succeeded. And now this blind man can see

Paul Graham interview by a 7th Grader

Loading screens: PrettyLoaded

You’re Doing It Wrong: CS in the real world

Categories: daily-links.

Daily Links #186

Interesting presentations from UX London 2010. all pdf links

Leah Buley: Good Design Faster

Peter Morville: Information Architecture with Maps

Joshua Porter: Metrics-Driven Design

Stephen P. Anderson: How To Think With Pretty Pictures (Demystifying Concept Models)

Categories: daily-links.

Daily Links #185

Kayak: Where can I fly for how much? (awesome tool)

Founder Dialogues: Tim Healy, co-founder and CEO of EnerNOC

Gabriel Weinberg on Mixergy: How The Founder Of Duck Duck Go Previously Bootstrapped A $10 Mil Company

Chris Dixon’s blog content page. Many gems in there.

Categories: daily-links, startups.

Daily Links #184

Tony Hsieh: Why I Sold Zappos

Gabriel Weinberg: Paths to $5M for a startup founder

Steve Blank: When Big Companies Are Dead But Don’t Know It.

As a side note, I asked Ben Horowitz on How he arrived at the decision to sell the Loudcloud business to EDS and become Opsware the software company?

The Optimizer’s Guide to Google Adwords: How to setup and organize your SEM account

Will Thimbleby: MISC: An experimental LISP-like language

Categories: Quora, daily-links, startups.

Review: 7 Seconds or Less by Jack McCallum

Set during the NBA 2005-06 season, ace sportswriter, Jack McCallum spends time with the Phoenix Suns as an “Assistant Coach” and covers the inner-workings of an NBA team. The book stems from an article Jack wrote during the pre-season which turned out to be quite popular.

The name of the book refers to Coach Mike D’Antoni’s philosophy of scoring in the first 7 seconds of the 24 second shot clock. The 2005-06 season was significant for a few reasons:
- Amare Stoudemire was lost to injury for most of the season
- Steve Nash receives his 2nd (back-to-back) MVP after playing point-guard at a level similar to Magic, Cousy & Stockton
- Raja Bell clotheslining Kobe Bryant and getting suspended for an elimination game

The book starts off and devotes a good portion, almost half, to the first round playoff’s with the Lakers, where the Suns comes back from 3-1 down to win the series, segways to training camp and a few regular season games. After which, the book moves on to the series with the Clippers, goes back to the cameo appearance Amare makes for 3 games, and then covers the western conference finals against the Mavs. All along you get insights into the players, coaches, how teams prep for games, how they deal with losing and winning games, the chemistry and the interplay.

While insights into teams might be common today with the advent of twitter, videos and interviews done by the players in the locker room, this books covers the era before all that. Jack McCallum is a fantastic and engaging writer and Seven Seconds or Less: My Season on the Bench with the Runnin’ and Gunnin’ Phoenix Suns is a fast paced page turner which is well worth a read.

My favorite quotes from the book:

“On the first day, Marion nailed me in the face as I held the ball during a shell drill, and I felt I belonged.”

“Just when it appears that Nash had played himself into a state of utter fatigue, he would summon up some uncommon effort and hit a shot down the stretch.”

When SportsCenter came on, that was the signal for Nash to get off his butt, “I felt uncomfortable being comfortable”, says Nash”.

“I just want to let you know,” says the coach, “that I’m never going to get mad at you for shooting. I’m going to get mad at you for not shooting.”

“When you are on the borderline of making it, when you don’t have what everybody thinks you need to make it, it’s important to have someone who believes in you. It’s sometimes the most important thing.”

[Nash]: “I’m more elusive than quick, and people confuse the two.”

“The central dichotomy about the NBA’s fastest offense, then, is that it is quarterbacked by someone who’s not at all that fast.”

If you like this post, here are some videos from the 2009-10 season from the Suns showcasing their chemistry and why they advanced to the western conference finals.
- Nash covering JMZ in the locker room during the playoffs
- Steve Nash & Robin Lopez, balls talk
- Goran Dragic shuts down the Spurs with 26 points (23 in the 4th quarter) in 17 minutes. Check out the end of the video on how the bench, the owner (Sarver) and the GM (Kerr) feel about Goran’s play.

Categories: books.

Daily Links #183

Jawed Karim: YouTube: From Concept to Hyper-growth (video)

Brian Halligan: Sales Management, Strategy, & Transformation (pdf)

How butterfly wings can stop counterfeit currency

Visual Website Optimizer: A/B Testing + Clickmaps = Awesomeness

Categories: daily-links, startups.

Daily Links #182

John Perry: Structured Procrastination & Procrastination and Perfectionism

Philip Zimbardo prescribes a healthy take on time and The Time Paradox

Performable: Which button color converts best?

Dan Zambonini: Why are the East of Cities usually Poorer?

Categories: daily-links.